In 2012 I have acquired some investments
and would like to review their effectiveness. The way I calculate rate of
return is quite simple:
-
For
the shares /equities with dividends paid:
(price at the end of the year – price at the beginning of the year +
dividends paid)/ price at the beginning of the year.
-
For the mutual funds or shares with the dividends
reinvested: (price at the
end of the year – price at the beginning of the year)/ price at the beginning
of the year.
I
used my current investments as real life example of rate of return on the
investments:
Vanguard Energy ETF - VDE
|
Gazprom OAO (GAZ:FRA)
|
Company shares
|
|
Number of holdings
|
300
|
3000
|
248 to 260
|
30th December 2011
|
30,243 (@100.81)
|
32,130 (@10.71)
|
9005 (@36.31)
|
28th December 2012
|
30,057 (@100.19)
|
27,690(@9.23)
|
8736 (@33.6)
|
Dividends
|
537* (1.99 per share)
|
1219** (@ 0.45)
|
12 shares or 388**
|
Dividends %
|
1.78
|
4.4
|
4.4
|
Overall return $
|
351
|
-3,221
|
-269
|
Overall return %
|
1.1%
|
-10%
|
-3%
|
*10% taxes paid.
** projected dividends, 10% taxes paid.
Observations:
-
As Company shares dividends are get reinvested
straight away, these are not subject to 10% income tax, the investment returns
are 4.9% not 4.4%.
-
Overall return or otherwise called total
shareholder return is not very informative metric, particularly with the stock
market ups and downs. In the example you could see Vanguard Energy ETF is clear winner, however from dividends prospective it’s performed very poorly. One of the reasons is that the companies composing the ETF are overvalued.
-
For the long run annual appreciation is
important, but dividends as well if you are re-investing them. You can hardly predict market fluctuations, but income stream and rate of return are m0re reliable metrics.
-
Directly re-investing dividends has a tax
advantage, rather than receiving them into brokerage /bank account and pay
income tax before investing the money again.
-
All investments performed below inflation level,
i.e. lost money. As there has been no
appreciation in terms of the stock growth, dividends are barely compensating
for the inflation.
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